November 2020 – Votes
Just revealed my Electoral Map w/ @WillieGeist on @Morning_Joe. Pretty sure that jinxes any chance of it happening (j/k).
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 2, 2020
here it is pic.twitter.com/eImyuY5imJ
— Tyson Whelan (@tyson_whelan) November 2, 2020
.@Redistrict breaks down his possible swing state scenarios with @WillieGeist: https://t.co/veqmh6xImD
— Morning Joe (@Morning_Joe) November 2, 2020
I'm thinking 155-160 million turnout, but not sure 160 million is the upper limit of where this could end up.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 3, 2020
What tonight has boiled down to: Trump likely needs to win *both* Arizona and Pennsylvania, while Biden only needs to win one to get to 270.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 3, 2020
Three words people: Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania.
— Tim O'Brien (@TimOBrien) November 4, 2020
Relax.#Election2020
And Arizona. And NE and ME CDs
— Norman Ornstein (@NormOrnstein) November 4, 2020
Arizona
— George Conway ⚖️🇺🇸 (@gtconway3d) November 4, 2020
The dump of mail/absentee ballots in Michigan is going to move big numbers for Biden. Not just in Wayne; watch Oakland, Macomb, Kent, Ingham, Washtenaw. There's a whole lot of points waiting to be put on the board.
— Tim Alberta (@TimAlberta) November 4, 2020
This president is a monster. An autocrat, a kleptocrat, a serial liar, a racist and nativist. He is trying to steal the election before the votes have been counted. We have to hope that with a combination of WI, MI and GA, that Biden gets to 270 without PA.
— Norman Ornstein (@NormOrnstein) November 4, 2020
Almost 2 million votes yet to be counted in PA. If they go 70-30 for Biden, which would fit expectations of votes by mail, Biden would net 800,000 and beat Trump by 100,000 or so. No wonder Trump is trying to stop the count!
— Norman Ornstein (@NormOrnstein) November 4, 2020
My nightmare is that it comes down to PA. The Trumpist Republican legislature ignores the vote count and certifies Trump electors. Gov Wolf certifies Biden's. The House and a GOP Senate can't agree, and the House chooses the president--with Republicans having a majority of states
— Norman Ornstein (@NormOrnstein) November 4, 2020
Pray that GA or WI or both go for Biden, making that nightmare disappear.
— Norman Ornstein (@NormOrnstein) November 4, 2020
WI update: with Trump up almost 120K over Biden, not sure Biden can make that all up with MKE county absentees. there are other votes still out, including from Kenosha and Green Bay, and GOP votes still out there too. needless to say, have heard bullish things from both sides.
— Craig Gilbert (@WisVoter) November 4, 2020
Absentee ballots are still being tallied in Milwaukee, Kenosha, and other cities. Based on everything we’ve seen, those ballots will decisively favor Biden. Green Bay hasn’t reported *any* results yet. When all votes are counted, we’re confident that Joe Biden will win Wisconsin.
— Ben Wikler (@benwikler) November 4, 2020
WI Presidential Election Results
— Decision Desk HQ (@DecisionDeskHQ) November 4, 2020
Trump (R): 50% (1,533,885 votes)
Biden (D): 48% (1,467,455 votes)
Estimated: > 95% votes in
More results here: https://t.co/WSml3RdgJ2
WI Presidential Election Results - Biden Takes The Lead
— Decision Desk HQ (@DecisionDeskHQ) November 4, 2020
Biden (D): 49% (1,551,268 votes)
Trump (R): 49% (1,549,127 votes)
Estimated: > 95% votes in
More results here: https://t.co/WSml3RdgJ2
If we are lucky, we will get a Biden victory in MI sometime tomorrow, and the nightmare will be over.
— Norman Ornstein (@NormOrnstein) November 4, 2020
About 137 million of 157-165 million estimated total votes have been counted.
— Tim O'Brien (@TimOBrien) November 4, 2020
There are still about *20-30 million* votes outstanding.
That. Is. A. Large. Number.
Patience is a virtue. https://t.co/daAJxSE7Jl
BREAKING Wisconsin Elections Commission Administrator says on @NBCNews: “All of the ballots have been counted.” Joe Biden has won Wisconsin by 20,697 votes.
— Chris D. Jackson (@ChrisDJackson) November 4, 2020
They are finding Biden votes all over the place — in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. So bad for our Country!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) November 4, 2020
To my eye, Biden is likely hitting the targets he needs in PA counties to be on track to finish ahead. And recounts don't typically overturn the margins we're likely to see for him in MI/WI.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 4, 2020
If Biden does prevail in MI/PA/WI, then AZ/GA/NV wouldn't matter to the outcome.
CNN just now saying Michigan called for Biden.
— Vanita Gupta (@vanitaguptaCR) November 4, 2020
I fear the chicanery if we end up at 270-268 for Biden; google Hayes-Tilden. If on the other hand, Biden wins PA and gets to 290, or even better also wins GA and gets over 300, no legal or extralegal shenanigans will work
— Norman Ornstein (@NormOrnstein) November 4, 2020
Much as Trump did in 2016, Biden is currently on pace to carry all three of MI/PA/WI by margins that are narrow, but wide enough to be outside the range of what a recount would plausibly overturn.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 4, 2020
If Trump can't prevail in Pennsylvania, he can't prevail period - no matter what happens in AZ/GA/NV. And right now, he's just not on pace to finish ahead.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 5, 2020
31,748 now separate Joe Biden and Donald Trump in Georgia. GA Secretary of State says 90,735 votes left to count.
— Brendan Keefe - Atlanta News First (@BrendanKeefe) November 5, 2020
It doesn't help the president's argument to "stop counting the ballots" in GA/PA etc. that his only possible path back in AZ/NV is to...continue counting the ballots.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 5, 2020
Trump won Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin (and the presidency) by a combined 77,744 votes in 2016.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 5, 2020
At this rate, Biden is on track to finish ahead by more than that in each of Michigan and Pennsylvania.
GEORGIA UPDATE. This from Gabriel Sterling, numbers guru at GA SOS office: There are 61,367 absentee ballots yet to be counted in GA (as of 915 am). Trump leads by about 18,500 votes. (Sterling warns that #s can always change). Here is the county by county breakdown:
— Richard Fausset (@RichardFausset) November 5, 2020
If Trump wins NC, PA, NV and AZ, but loses GA, guess what? The race would be tied 269-269. @270toWin https://t.co/hbPruePKx1 #2020election
— Ari Fleischer (@AriFleischer) November 5, 2020
Trump's lead in GA now down to 9,525 votes. It's just going to be super-close.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 5, 2020
Trump knows he's going to lose NV, PA, AZ and maybe GA. Rather than own his losses, he'll try to burn down the house.
— Tim O'Brien (@TimOBrien) November 6, 2020
He's been a threat to democracy from day one. He's even more of a threat now.
Newly counted Philadelphia ballots:
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 6, 2020
Biden 11,993 (87%)
Trump 1,740 (12%)
Trump's statewide margin down to 26k and dropping fast...
And there it is: Biden takes the lead in PA by 5,587 votes w/ latest count out of Philadelphia.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 6, 2020
Biden now leads in states worth 306 electoral votes. Here's how the map will probably finish pic.twitter.com/jsriBmroWb
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) November 6, 2020
If Biden's leads hold in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and Pennsylvania - and now there's little reason to to think they wouldn't - the president would need to somehow overturn the result in at least three states to win reelection.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 6, 2020
CNN: Mark Kelly wins AZ senate seat. Arizona will now have two democratic senators. Stunning.
— Jim Acosta (@Acosta) November 6, 2020
More stunning: Dems will have all eight Senate seats from AZ/CO/NV/NM for 1st time since 1941. And if Biden holds NV/AZ, as seems likely now, they will hold all 8 Senate seats & win all 4 for president for 1st time since 1936. https://t.co/o9kYaH3g1S
— Ronald Brownstein (@RonBrownstein) November 6, 2020
Latest data at this hour
— Jake Tapper 🦅 (@jaketapper) November 6, 2020
PA Biden up + 14,541 (lead has been growing)
GA Biden up +4,185 (lead has been growing)
AZ Biden up +39,400 (lead has been shrinking)
NV Biden up +20,137 (lead has been growing)
More to come --
True story: Trump is currently winning a higher share of the vote than he won in '16 in Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin - but he's lost Michigan and Wisconsin and trails in Arizona and Pennsylvania.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 7, 2020
Breaking: Joe Biden becomes the first presidential candidate in U.S. history to cross 75 million votes. https://t.co/9dMmSHHdVa?
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 7, 2020
CNN projects the US presidency for Joe Biden
— Jake Tapper 🦅 (@jaketapper) November 7, 2020
BREAKING: the @NBCNews Decision Desk has seen enough. Joe Biden wins Pennsylvania and the White House, defeating President Donald Trump.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 7, 2020
Arizona (current count):
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 7, 2020
Biden 1,626,943 (+0.6%)
Trump 1,606,370
Wisconsin (current count):
Biden 1,630,569 (+0.6%)
Trump 1,610,030
It's official. We completed our hand count audit and had a 100% match! Thank you to all 3 Maricopa County political parties, who appointed members to participate! pic.twitter.com/JhBcPYWhY3
— Maricopa County Elections (@MaricopaVote) November 9, 2020
Biden now has 12,337 more votes in Georgia than Trump.
— Tim O'Brien (@TimOBrien) November 10, 2020
The margin between Gore and Bush in Florida in 2000 was 537 votes.
There’s a difference between “clear” and “close.”
Who was the last Democratic presidential contender to win AZ's Maricopa County prior to Biden? Harry Truman, 72 years ago.
— Tim O'Brien (@TimOBrien) November 13, 2020
BREAKING: Joe Biden is the apparent winner in Georgia, according to the NBC News Decision Desk. https://t.co/P88oMWJFrI
— MS NOW (@MSNOWNews) November 13, 2020
**6 MILLION VOTES**
— Tim O'Brien (@TimOBrien) November 13, 2020
Biden Wins Electoral College 306-232, Takes Georgia, Trump Wins North Carolina - https://t.co/wonJUrh8HT